Trends

Super El Niño: Why 2027 Could Be the Hottest Year on Record

Currently, there is a powerful super El Niño that is observed by NOAA to have an 83% chance of being a remarkable occurrence. It is supposed to last until early 2027 and it is predicted to be more powerful than before since 1950.

Why Is This Important When It Comes to Temperatures?

The super El Niño phenomenon is related to ocean heat emission and historically the years demonstrate low temperatures after the peak. Zeke Hausfather predicts that 2026 will be 1.56°C warmer than it was in the pre-industrial age, which is worse than in 2024 when it was warmer by 1.6oC.

Apart from that, will this be a record-breaker?

It is highly probable to become one, though there are no guarantees. No similar forecast has been there before and global warming is constant.

Will Anything Else Change?

Impacts are varied in different regions such as drought and floods. According to our report on deaths from Europe’s heatwave, fires, crop stress and fisheries are at risk, and heat is adding to the toll.

Read more Climate Changes

Why is tropical rainfall moving north?

Read how rain belts are shifting.

Is sea level rise speeding up?

See what the latest data show.

Why are cyclones strengthening faster?

Read about rapid intensification and why it matters.

Are coral reefs on the brink?

See what mass bleaching means for the ocean.

Why are seas running out of oxygen?

Read about ocean dead zones.

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