Monsoon Watch May 13: Conditions Turn ‘Favourable’ in South Bay of Bengal — When Will Rain Reach the Rest of India?
South Bay of Bengal conditions turn favourable for monsoon advance. Know when Kerala, North India, and other states may receive rainfall.

Weather conditions in the South Bay of Bengal and adjacent areas are increasingly likely to support the advancement of the southwest monsoon over the Indian subcontinent with India’s monsoon season starting to show more definitive signs of moving northward from its customary positions at South Bay of Bengal and beyond.
Why the South Bay of Bengal Matters
Warm sea surface temperatures and moisture laden winds are causing a lot of surface evaporation and this is causing even more water vapor to be carried north towards the Indian mainland via horizontal winds. Many meteorologists monitor wind circulation, cloud development, and pressure patterns in this region because of how related these features are to how fast and how far north the monsoon will go by the time it reaches Kerala and other states in India.
When Can Other States Expect Rainfall?
The southern states should expect heavier rains during early June, and eastern and central states in India should expect to see monsoon showers for the second half of June. The monsoon should start to make gradual progress through the remaining states including West Bengal, Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh through mid-June.
Heatwaves Continue Across North India
While southern regions of India are starting to see improved conditions with regard to monsoon development, the remaining northern and central states of India are still experiencing substantive levels of excessive temperatures.
Why This Monsoon Is Important
There are many reasons why the current monsoon season is critical for India’s agricultural economy, potable water supply, food security, and economic stability. Timely rains from the monsoon season will allow farmers to sow crops, refill reservoirs, raise groundwater levels and ease electricity consumption due to the prolonged heat of summer.
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Final Words
While the southern part of the country should soon see the first significant monsoon moisture, northern and central areas will probably have to wait a number of weeks before they will receive any real relief from the extreme temperatures of summertime.
FAQs
1. What are the favorable conditions for the monsoon?
Favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions are developing that will be conducive to the monsoon developing and continuing to move forward.
2. What state gets the monsoon first in India?
Kerala is traditionally recognized as the first Indian state to receive the southwest monsoon.
3. When can we expect the monsoon in northern India?
Most northern Indian states are anticipated to receive monsoon precipitation between late June and early July.
4. Is it possible to change the dates of the monsoon?
Yes. The monsoon can travel faster or slower due to cyclones, wind directions and high/low-pressure systems.



