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Monsoon 2026 Countdown: Why the Andaman Sea Arrival This Weekend Is Earlier Than Expected — And What It Means for India

Monsoon 2026 may arrive early as southwest currents advance over the Andaman Sea. Know expected rainfall states and India weather updates.

Due to factors that have become increasingly favourable in the Bay of Bengal and in the surrounding ocean areas, the monsoon season in India may be arriving earlier than usual this year. Meteorologists attribute this to an unusually rapid advancement of southwest monsoon currents over the Andaman Sea.

If current trends continue, the arrival of the southwest monsoon will be one of the earliest seasonal advances to occur over the Andaman Sea since records began being kept in 1871.

Why the Andaman Sea Arrival Matters

The arrival of the southwest monsoon to the Andaman Sea is an important milestone in its northward progression toward land in India.

In addition to recording rainfall and monitoring cloud formation, wind speed and moisture flow in this region, meteorologists are closely monitoring these factors because they provide insights regarding how quickly the southwest monsoon will reach the mainland of India.

Which States Could See Early Rainfall?

The following states are expected to see increased rainfall in the early development of the southwest monsoon:

1. Kerala

2. Tamil Nadu

3. Karnataka

4. Andhra Pradesh

5. Telangana

6. West Bengal

7. Northeastern states (i.e. Assam and Meghalaya)

What About North India?

The states in northern India (i.e. Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Punjab, and Haryana) will still be required to wait several more weeks for the complete arrival of the southwest monsoon.

Although there could be some isolated pre-monsoon thunderstorms occurring during the next several weeks, there most likely will not be any prolonged rainfall during that same period.

Final Words

The southern and northeastern sections of the country may experience their first significant rainfall (as opposed to sporadic showers) for the 2020 Monsoon season shortly, while countless people in northern India will continue to experience sweltering heat. The Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea continue to be monitored by meteorologists; the next several weeks will be critical in determining how quickly and powerfully the country’s most critical weather period unfolds.

FAQs

What significance does the Andaman Sea have in regards to the monsoons?

The arrival of the Andaman Sea signifies one of the first official milestones of the monsoons’ southwest progression in India.

Are the monsoons coming early this year?

Current weather conditions are hinting that monsoon activity may arrive earlier than originally expected through the Andaman Sea.

Which states of India should expect rain first?

Southern coastal states, northeast India and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are likely to 
receive rain first.

Will north India receive the monsoon rains early?

Not likely; northern states are expected to wait until late June for widespread rains associated with the monsoon.

lavanya

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