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Jakarta’s Fall & Nusantara’s Rise: A Closer Look At The Nation’s Pivot

Rising seas and sinking land reshape Jakarta’s future. Learn what drives the crisis and how Indonesia’s capital relocation plan hopes to stabilise governance and infrastructure.

Jakarta is not “slowly” sinking anymore. In North Jakarta, the ground drops while tides rise, and residents see it first in cracked walls, salty wells, and streets that flood faster each rainy season. The uncomfortable truth is that this is mostly human-made, which means it can be slowed, but only with hard choices.

What’s Driving The Sink, And What Indonesia Is Doing Next

The biggest driver is land subsidence from pumping groundwater. When millions rely on deep wells because piped water is limited, aquifers compact and the city surface sinks. Add the weight of dense buildings, soft coastal soils, and sea-level rise, and you get a megacity fighting water from below and above. Researchers describe Jakarta’s long-term drop as metres in some areas since the 1980s, with rates that can reach about 10 cm per year, and large parts of the city already below sea level.

Why Groundwater And Infrastructure Keep Colliding

Jakarta’s water story is a loop: limited safe piped supply pushes well use, and well use makes subsidence worse, raising flood risk, highlighting wider concerns within Indonesia Environmental policy and urban water management efforts.

Jakarta sinking crisis
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Relocation Plans, Timelines, And The Real Trade-Off

Relocation has become the headline response. Indonesia is building Nusantara in East Kalimantan (Borneo) and shifting core government functions there in phases. Recent updates show the new administration still backing the project, with major government facilities targeted around 2028. Reuters also posted a quick recap.

Nusantara is pitched as greener and more planned, but it faces funding pressure and investor-rule debates. It also does not “save” Jakarta by itself—Jakarta still needs faster piped-water rollout, groundwater controls, and flood infrastructure.

FAQs

1. Is Jakarta sinking only because of climate change?

No. Groundwater pumping and soft soils drive subsidence; sea-level rise worsens flooding impacts today too.

2. Why does groundwater extraction make land drop?

Pumping removes support in aquifers; clay layers compact, and the surface settles permanently over time.

3. Will moving the capital stop Jakarta’s flooding?

Not alone. Jakarta still needs clean piped water, serious drainage upgrades, seawalls, and enforcement actions.

4. When will Nusantara fully function as capital?

Most plans point to phased moves, with major government facilities targeted around 2028, not earlier.

5. Can Jakarta be saved without relocation?

Yes, but it requires strict groundwater limits, water-network expansion, and coastal protection, sustained for decades.

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